Nationwide Survey on Political Developments in Greece
Survey and Analysis of Results
Analysis by John D. Papadopoulos and Mario Schmidt
A. Current Affairs - Public Sentiment
Our latest poll on Greece brings up some significant developments on the current issues of concern, the performance of the government and the front opposition parties.
Almost half of the respondents (47%) do not believe that better days will come for the country and the society, even after the successful conclusion of the first review of the Greek fiscal consolidation program. There is also an important part of 28% that still hesitates to take a clear stance, waiting for the next moves and decisions of the government. Nonetheless, the utmost majority (51%) recognizes the “state of play” for Greece and the difficult political balances inside Eurozone and the EU, considering that the Syriza-led government is better managing the economic crisis comparing to the previous governments.
Similarly conflicting are the results of the following two questions (Q3, Q4) with 48% stating unsatisfied with the reflection of the legislative work on daily life, whereas 62% endorses the government’s intention to focus on growth policies to combat sky-rocketed unemployment and poverty. The majority of respondents, despite growing social grievances, seems to have put all hopes in the coming months, expecting major shifts in economic policy that will improve macroeconomic indicators and increase liquidity in the market.
B. Review of Bailout Deal
After more than six months of negotiations between the Greek government and the institutions, an agreement has been finally reached. Surprisingly enough, half of the respondents are neither satisfied nor unsatisfied with the agreement. This largely touches on two major factors: the first deals with the negative perception over the prospects of the Greek economy (i.e. Q1), and the second with the lack of full and inclusive information on what has been precisely agreed for Greece in May’s last Eurogroup (i.e. Q6). Therefore, the government suffers from a poor media coverage with respect to the agreement or, vice-versa, from biased information by certain media outlets.
Notwithstanding, with respect to the debt relief issue, 43% believes that the government has reached the best possible deal, with another 26% to remain uncertain on whether this was the best Greece could gain. On the controversial issue of the establishment of the new Privatisation Fund, it is clear for the majority of respondents that the government intends to take advantage of all state assets that have been included to the Fund in order to bring in investments and, thus, soar the domestic economy and create job opportunities.
C. Political Developments - Political Parties
For the outstanding majority, there is a clear disappointment for all political parties of the opposition, whereas 53% of respondents believes that the true intention of front opposition ND party to call for snap elections is to topple the government, without having an alternative, credible political proposal to submit. Similarly goes with regards to snap elections with 77% of respondents to rule out any such option.
As of the new political formations, most believe that none of them can contribute to the ongoing political debate with fresh ideas and political proposals. This applies to all parties regardless of their ideological reference.
D. Voting Intention
Comparing to our previous poll in early April, Syriza party is counting losses but remains on top, keeping safe distance from ND party. The latter has difficulties in capitalizing these losses, failing to convince the electorate.
Golden Dawn and the Communist Party retain their forces, whereas the Democratic Alliance and the government coalition party Independent Greeks remain steady. The River party continues to dwindle, the Union of Centrists continues to weaken, whereas Popular Unity is slightly squeezed by the new party Road to Freedom, established by the former President of the Parliament and Syriza MP, Zoe Konstantopoulou. Her party absorbs Syriza marginal losses.
June 17, 2016